The NFL offseason is a time of hope and speculation, and Bill Barnwell has identified five teams that are primed for a significant turnaround in the 2025 season. Drawing on his extensive analysis of offseason transactions, fumble recovery rates, and other key metrics, Barnwell provides a detailed look at which teams could go from worst to first.

New York Giants

After a dismal 3-14 record in 2024, the Giants are looking to bounce back. Despite their poor performance, the team showed flashes of competitiveness, particularly in one-score games where they went 1-7. With key players like Dexter Lawrence and Kayvon Thibodeaux returning from injury, and the addition of first-round pick Jaxson Dart at quarterback, the Giants have the potential to improve significantly.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers, coming off a 6-11 season, were plagued by injuries in 2024. With a healthier roster and the easiest projected schedule in the NFL, San Francisco is poised for a rebound. The addition of defensive coordinator Robert Saleh could also provide a much-needed boost to the defense.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders made significant upgrades at quarterback and head coach, bringing in Geno Smith and Pete Carroll. With a more stable leadership and a veteran quarterback, Las Vegas is expected to improve from their 4-13 record in 2024.

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars were unlucky in 2024, with 13 of their 17 games decided by seven or fewer points. With a healthier Trevor Lawrence and a more favorable schedule, Jacksonville is a strong candidate for improvement.

Chicago Bears

The Bears had a rollercoaster season in 2024, starting strong but collapsing after a heartbreaking Hail Mary loss. With new head coach Ben Johnson and a focus on improving the offensive line, Chicago has the potential to turn things around in 2025.

Barnwell's analysis suggests that while not all of these teams will make the playoffs, each has the potential to improve significantly based on their offseason moves and the natural regression of luck from the previous season.